Land Use and Food Security in 2050: a Narrow Road, Agrimonde-Terra
Date de publication
Matière à débattre et décider

Land Use and Food Security in 2050: a Narrow Road



Matière à débattre et décider

AideEAN13 : 9782759228805
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After a first foresight study on ‘World food security in 2050’ (Agrimonde),
CIRAD and INRA have turned their attention to a new foresight exercise on
‘Land use and food security in 2050’ (Agrimonde-Terra). This new study seeks
to highlight levers that could modify ongoing land-use patterns for improved
food and nutrition security.

Agrimonde-Terra proposes a trend analysis on the global context, climate
change, food diets, urban-rural linkages, farm structures, cropping and
livestock systems, and explores five scenarios. Three scenarios entitled
‘Metropolization’, ‘Regionalization’ and ‘Households’ are based on current
competing trends identified in most world regions. Two scenarios entitled
‘Healthy’ and ‘Communities’ involve potential breaks that could change the
entire land use and food security system. The ‘Healthy’ scenario is the only
one that makes it possible to achieve sustainable world food and nutrition
security in 2050. Nevertheless, current trends in agricultural and food
systems in most parts of the world converge towards the ‘Metropolization’
scenario, which is not sustainable in terms of both land use and human health.
Therefore, changing the course of ongoing trends in favor of sustainable land
uses and healthy food systems will be one of the main challenges of the next
decades. It will require systemic transformation, strong and coherent public
policies across sectors and scales, and consistent actions from a wide range
of actors.

This foresight provides a large information base on land uses, food systems
and food security and constitutes a tool box to stimulate debates, imagine new
policies and innovations. It aims to empower decision makers, stakeholders,
non-governmental organizations and researchers to develop a constructive
dialogue on the futures of land uses and food security at either world,
regional and national levels.

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